Starship Asterisk*

SpaceX has plans to deploy nearly 12,000 satellites in three orbital shells by the mid-2020s

geckzilla wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2019 9:24 pm https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink_ ... tellation)

SpaceX has plans to deploy nearly 12,000 satellites in three orbital shells by the mid-2020s

not sure why I never heard of this until just recently when people started posting pictures of dotted lines crossing the sky after this initial launch of 60 satellites. the astronomy community is pretty concerned. what do you all think of this? is it going to ruin observational astronomy? will Chris's allsky meteor cameras be inundated with satellite streaks?

geckzilla wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2019 6:31 am Just reading over some of the things astronomers have said so far:
Their TLEs will not be very accurate for very long because these things are actively moving around to avoid collisions and maintain their net, so the margin of error is going to have to be quite large, blotting out large portions of the sky or even making it impossible in some cases to avoid them

Projects like LSST are going to at minimum end up with around 5 of them in each field

They are not THAT dim, depending on what your latitude is and which way Earth is currently tilting. At higher latitudes during summer, they will never pass through the Earth's umbra from your viewpoint, being visible all night long

Current imagery shows them being at around magnitude 3-4, which may increase slightly as their altitude raises

12000 LEO satellites is A LOT. Right now, if you count ALL space debris, including junk from launches and the faintest stuff that's far out, there are around 19400 bits out there. But these are all going to be low earth orbit! And in an operational net that ensures they're always overhead.

Further thoughts: How many more telecoms will want a piece of this pie? How many more shells of satellites will we eventually end up with?

h/t to Doug Ellison and others I have forgotten due to just reading so many sources

geckzilla wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2019 2:31 pm It's a project that affects the whole globe, but it's hardly anyone was asked about it... it's just one billionaire using a global resource to fund his Mars fantasy while ostensibly "saving" humanity. The impact is on both optical and radio astronomy. They will emit in radio frequency on what was a quiet band... anyway, I'm sure you'll hear about it more and with greater accuracy on the actual impact in the coming weeks and months.

On a similar topic, apparently the 5G band being auctioned off to telecoms will also be an incredible disruption to weather prediction since those bands are naturally extremely faint, so when a bunch of cell towers and phones start emitting in that range it's going to drown out weather observations.

rstevenson wrote: ↑Tue May 28, 2019 1:12 pm
News item this morning (first I'd heard of this) suggests that the billionaire and team will be looking at the possibility of reducing the satellites' albedo, now that people have begun to express reservations. I can't imagine why this idea would come so late to the table. You'd think anyone putting up 12,000 satellites would have considered their visual effect before now -- but I suppose that would require a level of humility rarely exhibited by self-made billionaires.

Article also mentioned that the expected final albedo of the current bright ones will be about +6.

Space.com article here (from which the article I was reading seems to have been cadged)...

The American Astronomical Society notes with concern the impending deployment of very large constellations of satellites into Earth orbit. The number of such satellites is projected to grow into the tens of thousands over the next several years, creating the potential for substantial adverse impacts to ground- and space-based astronomy. These impacts could include significant disruption of optical and near-infrared observations by direct detection of satellites in reflected and emitted light; contamination of radio astronomical observations by electromagnetic radiation in satellite communication bands; and collision with space-based observatories.

The AAS recognizes that outer space is an increasingly available resource with many possible uses. However, the potential for multiple large satellite constellations to adversely affect both each other and the study of the cosmos is becoming increasingly apparent, both in low Earth orbit and beyond.

The AAS is actively working to assess the impacts on astronomy of large satellite constellations before their numbers rise further. Only with thorough and quantitative understanding can we properly assess the risks and identify appropriate mitigating actions. The AAS desires that this be a collaborative effort among its members, other scientific societies, and other space stakeholders including private companies. The AAS will support and facilitate the work by relevant parties to understand fully and minimize the impact of large satellite constellations on ground- and space-based astronomy.

This annotated image shows the night sky at ESO's Paranal Observatory around twilight, about 90 minutes before sunrise. The blue lines mark degrees of elevation above the horizon. Credit: ESO/Y. Beletsky/L. Calçada

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Astronomers have recently raised concerns about the impact of satellite mega-constellations on scientific research. To better understand the effect these constellations could have on astronomical observations, ESO commissioned a scientific study of their impact, focusing on observations with ESO telescopes in the visible and infrared but also considering other observatories. The study, which considers a total of 18 representative satellite constellations under development by SpaceX, Amazon, OneWeb and others, together amounting to over 26 thousand satellites [1], has now been accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysics.

The study finds that large telescopes like ESO's Very Large Telescope (VLT) and ESO's upcoming Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) will be "moderately affected" by the constellations under development. The effect is more pronounced for long exposures (of about 1000 s), up to 3% of which could be ruined during twilight, the time between dawn and sunrise and between sunset and dusk. Shorter exposures would be less impacted, with fewer than 0.5% of observations of this type affected. Observations conducted at other times during the night would also be less affected, as the satellites would be in the shadow of the Earth and therefore not illuminated. Depending on the science case, the impacts could be lessened by making changes to the operating schedules of ESO telescopes, though these changes come at a cost [2]. On the industry side, an effective step to mitigate impacts would be to darken the satellites.

The study also finds that the greatest impact could be on wide-field surveys, in particular those done with large telescopes. For example, up to 30% to 50% of exposures with the US National Science Foundation's Vera C. Rubin Observatory (not an ESO facility) would be "severely affected”, depending on the time of year, the time of night, and the simplifying assumptions of the study. Mitigation techniques that could be applied on ESO telescopes would not work for this observatory although other strategies are being actively explored. Further studies are required to fully understand the scientific implications of this loss of observational data and complexities in their analysis. Wide-field survey telescopes like the Rubin Observatory can scan large parts of the sky quickly, making them crucial to spot short-lived phenomena like supernovae or potentially dangerous asteroids. Because of their unique capability to generate very large data sets and to find observation targets for many other observatories, astronomy communities and funding agencies in Europe and elsewhere have ranked wide-field survey telescopes as a top priority for future developments in astronomy.

• Astronomy & Astrophysics (online 05 Mar 2020) DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/202037501
• arXiv.org > astro-ph > arXiv:2003.01992 > 04 Mar 2020

Courtesy: NOIRLab / NSF / AURA / P. Marenfeld

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A report by experts representing the global astronomical community concludes that large constellations of bright satellites in low Earth orbit will fundamentally change ground-based optical and infrared astronomy and could impact the appearance of the night sky for stargazers worldwide. The report is the outcome of the recent SATCON1 virtual workshop, which brought together more than 250 scientists, engineers, satellite operators, and other stakeholders. ...

The report concludes that the effects of large satellite constellations on astronomical research and on the human experience of the night sky range from “negligible” to “extreme.” This new hazard was not on astronomers’ radar in 2010, when New Worlds, New Horizons — the report of the National Academies’ Astro2010 decadal survey of astronomy and astrophysics — was issued. Astro2010’s top recommendation for ground-based optical astronomy, Vera C. Rubin Observatory, will soon begin conducting exactly the type of observations to which Walker refers. When SpaceX launched its first batch of 60 Starlink communication satellites in May 2019 and people all over the world saw them in the sky, astronomers reacted with alarm. Not only were the Starlink satellites brighter than anyone expected, but there could be tens of thousands more like them. As they pass through Rubin’s camera field, they will affect the 8.4-meter (27.6-foot) telescope’s view of the faint celestial objects astronomers hope to study with it. ...

Constellations of LEOsats are designed in part to provide communication services to underserved and remote areas, a goal everyone can support. Recognizing this, astronomers have engaged satellite operators in cooperative discussions about how to achieve that goal without unduly harming ground-based astronomical observations. The SATCON1 workshop is just the latest, and most significant, step in this ongoing dialog. ...

Prometheus wrote: ↑Sat Nov 13, 2021 8:26 am Surprisingly I’ve never actually seen any Starlink satellites pass over…even on actually clear nights. I haven’t even seen any satellites go by, interrupting my observing (not even the ISS).

Up to 40 Starlink satellites, launched earlier this month as part of Elon Musk's efforts to build a high-speed internet network, were lost after a recent geomagnetic storm in space, company officials confirmed Tuesday. ...

This figure shows six instances of satellite streaks in Hubble images. The column on the left shows typical trails. The middle column shows multiple trails. And the right column shows a broad, out-of-focus trail and a curved trail. These images are 11-minute-long exposures, typical of Hubble observations. Image Credit: Kruk et al. 2023.

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Astronomy is poised for another leap. In the next several years, major ground-based telescopes will come online, including the Extremely Large Telescope (ELT), the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT), the Giant Magellan Telescope (GMT), and the Vera Rubin Observatory. The combined power of these telescopes will help drive discovery in the next couple of decades.

But something threatens to undermine astronomical observing in the coming years: Starlink and other internet satellite constellations.

Now a group of astronomers have shown that even the Hubble can’t escape the satellite problem.

Since the launch of Starlink and other communication satellite constellations, there’s been a growing recognition of their negative effect on astronomy. The international astronomy community has pointed out how the growing number of internet satellites in Earth orbit is complicating astronomical observations by ground-based telescopes. Now their concern is spreading to the Hubble. ...

• Nature Astronomy (02 Mar 2023) DOI: 10.1038/s41550-023-01903-3