by bystander » Thu Apr 15, 2010 4:39 pm
Is the end of the world imminent?,
The Insider, 10 April 2010
- Supernova
Various cosmic phenomena are capable of destroying most or all life on Earth, and the most obvious example is a supernova. (I will not discuss solar flares, but these could fall within the general category of common cosmic events.) Supernovae each release a burst of the most powerful energies in the universe (ten times more energy than our sun releases over its entire lifetime). Long after the initial explosion, there is a pair of directional beams of extremely high energy radiation pointing opposite directions. The Gamma Rays alone are capable of sterilising the surface of the Earth, instantly eliminating all life on land and in the sea. Less severe exposure will expose all life to dangerous radiation, and change the world's climate significantly for a long period. The fossil record shows that this has happened before, e.g. causing the extinction of trilobites. Ironically in less severe cases, the mutations caused by Gamma Rays, X-Rays and other forms of radiation from a supernova may accelerate the rate of evolution, increasing the chances of new species emerging that can survive under the new conditions.
E.g. The star WR104 is about to die, is within range (8,000 light years) and appears to be pointing right at us! It could already have exploded, but of course we won't see it until the light and radiation reaches us 8,000 years later. It could hit us tomorrow, or the next day, and there will be no warning.
WR 104: A nearby gamma-ray burst?
Bad Astronomy - 2008 March 03
I spend a lot of time in my upcoming book Death from the Skies! making the case that for the most part, astronomical dangers to life on Earth — especially from explosions called gamma-ray bursts — are incredibly rare, and not worth fretting over too much.
I may — may — have to change my mind.
...
Up until now, I hadn’t heard of WR 104. This is a binary star located 8000 light years away, more or less toward the center of our galaxy. The two stars are both whoppers; one is a massive O star, which will someday detonate in a tremendous supernova. However, at that great distance, it won’t do anything more than be a bright light in the sky.
The other star in the system is a bit of a worry, though. It’s what’s called a Wolf Rayet star, a massive, luminous star that is on the brink of exploding as well. In general, these also blow up as supernovae and, from 8000 light years away (80 quadrillion kilometers) it wouldn’t pose much of a threat.
But what if it explodes as a gamma-ray burst?
...
To wrap up: WR 104 is an interesting system. Both stars are guaranteed to explode one day. If they are just regular old supernovae, then we are in no danger at all, because they are way way too far away to hurt us (a regular supernova has to be about 25 light years or closer to hurt us, and WR 104 is 300 times farther away than that). It is possible that one of the stars may explode as a GRB, and it’s possible it’s aimed at us, but we don’t know. And we don’t know exactly what effects it would have on us. So if it’s less than 10,000 years from exploding and if it blows up as a GRB and if it’s aimed at us and if there isn’t much junk between us and it, then yeah, we may have a problem. But that’s an awful lot of ifs.
Given all these uncertainties, and having researched the dangers of GRBs extensively for my book, I won’t be losing any sleep over WR 104. For now, this is just an extraordinarily cool object, and it’s worth keeping an eye on — certainly for its astronomical interest alone! But as for it being a Death Star, I think it’s way way too early to tell.
WR 104 Won't Kill Us After All
Universe Today - 2009 Jan 07
Early last year, concern was growing for a Wolf-Rayet star named WR 104 that appeared to be aiming right at Earth (see
Looking Down the Barrel of A Gamma Ray Burst). A Wolf-Rayet star is a highly unstable star coming to the end of its life, possibly culminating in a powerful, planet-killing gamma-ray burst (GRB). GRBs are collimated beams of high energy gamma-rays, projected from the poles of a collapsing Wolf-Rayet star. It was little wonder that we were concerned when a dying Wolf-Rayet star was found to be pointing right at us! Today, at the AAS in Long Beach, one scientist
(Dr. Grant Hill) working at the Keck Telescope has taken a keen interest in WR 104 and shared new findings that show our Solar System may not be bathed in deadly gamma-rays after all…
WR 104: The Dying Star With Deadly Potential
Discovery News - 2009 Aug 04
Interview: Dr. Grant Hill, a researcher at the Keck Observatory, tells Discovery News whether we are staring down the barrel of a potential GRB gun...
The scoop: Last year, a star called WR 104 caused a stir. This massive Wolf-Rayet star is reaching the end of its life and astrophysicists believe it may explode as a supernova some time in the near future (in astronomical terms, this means tens to hundreds of thousands of years, so don't bet on anything happening soon).
However, WR 104 has a sinister side... it could erupt as the most energetic explosion observed in the cosmos: a gamma-ray burst (GRB).
As it's in our galaxy, and looks as if it's pointing right at us, there's concern that it could cause damage to Earth's biosphere should it explode as a GRB. With this in mind, Dr. Grant Hill, a researcher at the Keck Observatory on Big Island, Hawaii, has been investigating whether we are actually staring down the barrel of a potential GRB gun...
[quote="wonderboy"][url]http://www.theinsider.org/news/article.asp?id=2769[/url][/quote]
[quote][b]Is the end of the world imminent?[/b], [b][i]The Insider[/i][/b], 10 April 2010
[list][*] Supernova
Various cosmic phenomena are capable of destroying most or all life on Earth, and the most obvious example is a supernova. (I will not discuss solar flares, but these could fall within the general category of common cosmic events.) Supernovae each release a burst of the most powerful energies in the universe (ten times more energy than our sun releases over its entire lifetime). Long after the initial explosion, there is a pair of directional beams of extremely high energy radiation pointing opposite directions. The Gamma Rays alone are capable of sterilising the surface of the Earth, instantly eliminating all life on land and in the sea. Less severe exposure will expose all life to dangerous radiation, and change the world's climate significantly for a long period. The fossil record shows that this has happened before, e.g. causing the extinction of trilobites. Ironically in less severe cases, the mutations caused by Gamma Rays, X-Rays and other forms of radiation from a supernova may accelerate the rate of evolution, increasing the chances of new species emerging that can survive under the new conditions.
E.g. The star WR104 is about to die, is within range (8,000 light years) and appears to be pointing right at us! It could already have exploded, but of course we won't see it until the light and radiation reaches us 8,000 years later. It could hit us tomorrow, or the next day, and there will be no warning.[/list][/quote]
[url=http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2008/03/03/wr-104-a-nearby-gamma-ray-burst/]WR 104: A nearby gamma-ray burst?[/url]
Bad Astronomy - 2008 March 03
[img]http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/files/2008/wr104.jpg[/img]
[quote]I spend a lot of time in my upcoming book Death from the Skies! making the case that for the most part, astronomical dangers to life on Earth — especially from explosions called gamma-ray bursts — are incredibly rare, and not worth fretting over too much.
I may — may — have to change my mind.
...
Up until now, I hadn’t heard of WR 104. This is a binary star located 8000 light years away, more or less toward the center of our galaxy. The two stars are both whoppers; one is a massive O star, which will someday detonate in a tremendous supernova. However, at that great distance, it won’t do anything more than be a bright light in the sky.
The other star in the system is a bit of a worry, though. It’s what’s called a Wolf Rayet star, a massive, luminous star that is on the brink of exploding as well. In general, these also blow up as supernovae and, from 8000 light years away (80 quadrillion kilometers) it wouldn’t pose much of a threat.
But what if it explodes as a gamma-ray burst?
...
To wrap up: WR 104 is an interesting system. Both stars are guaranteed to explode one day. If they are just regular old supernovae, then we are in no danger at all, because they are way way too far away to hurt us (a regular supernova has to be about 25 light years or closer to hurt us, and WR 104 is 300 times farther away than that). It is possible that one of the stars may explode as a GRB, and it’s possible it’s aimed at us, but we don’t know. And we don’t know exactly what effects it would have on us. So if it’s less than 10,000 years from exploding and if it blows up as a GRB and if it’s aimed at us and if there isn’t much junk between us and it, then yeah, we may have a problem. But that’s an awful lot of ifs.
Given all these uncertainties, and having researched the dangers of GRBs extensively for my book, I won’t be losing any sleep over WR 104. For now, this is just an extraordinarily cool object, and it’s worth keeping an eye on — certainly for its astronomical interest alone! But as for it being a Death Star, I think it’s way way too early to tell.[/quote]
[url=http://www.universetoday.com/2009/01/07/wr-104-wont-kill-us-after-all/]WR 104 Won't Kill Us After All[/url]
Universe Today - 2009 Jan 07
[img]http://www.universetoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/03/movie_11.thumbnail.gif[/img]
[quote]Early last year, concern was growing for a Wolf-Rayet star named WR 104 that appeared to be aiming right at Earth (see [url=http://www.universetoday.com/2008/03/03/looking-down-the-barrel-of-a-gamma-ray-burst/][i]Looking Down the Barrel of A Gamma Ray Burst[/i][/url]). A Wolf-Rayet star is a highly unstable star coming to the end of its life, possibly culminating in a powerful, planet-killing gamma-ray burst (GRB). GRBs are collimated beams of high energy gamma-rays, projected from the poles of a collapsing Wolf-Rayet star. It was little wonder that we were concerned when a dying Wolf-Rayet star was found to be pointing right at us! Today, at the AAS in Long Beach, one scientist [i](Dr. Grant Hill)[/i] working at the Keck Telescope has taken a keen interest in WR 104 and shared new findings that show our Solar System may not be bathed in deadly gamma-rays after all…[/quote]
[url=http://news.discovery.com/space/gamma-ray-wolf-rayet.html]WR 104: The Dying Star With Deadly Potential[/url]
Discovery News - 2009 Aug 04
[quote]Interview: Dr. Grant Hill, a researcher at the Keck Observatory, tells Discovery News whether we are staring down the barrel of a potential GRB gun...
The scoop: Last year, a star called WR 104 caused a stir. This massive Wolf-Rayet star is reaching the end of its life and astrophysicists believe it may explode as a supernova some time in the near future (in astronomical terms, this means tens to hundreds of thousands of years, so don't bet on anything happening soon).
However, WR 104 has a sinister side... it could erupt as the most energetic explosion observed in the cosmos: a gamma-ray burst (GRB).
As it's in our galaxy, and looks as if it's pointing right at us, there's concern that it could cause damage to Earth's biosphere should it explode as a GRB. With this in mind, Dr. Grant Hill, a researcher at the Keck Observatory on Big Island, Hawaii, has been investigating whether we are actually staring down the barrel of a potential GRB gun...[/quote]