by heehaw » Tue Feb 21, 2017 2:08 pm
A good picture: of a vast galaxy AND of human 'eyes' observing it. How many more civilizations are there out there, also eyeing that galaxy? A clue is our own solar system: yes, we have an Earth with our civilization. But perhaps more important we have Venus, which has lost ALL its hydrogen and hence NO water and hence NO chance of life. The fact that a Venus appears in our solar system almost guarantees that Venuses are common throughout the galaxy. But we can NOT conclude from our own presence that Earths are similarly common. That is the remaining huge unknown: how common are Earth/Venus-size planets in the habitable zone that do NOT lose their hydrogen? We do not know. It may be that an unusual event involving the origin of our big Moon was somehow crucial to our retaining our hydrogen and therefore having lots of water, leading to life and leading to this posting. If that is so, there may only be tiny numbers of 'Earths' in our galaxy. As it stands, we just don't know! But with future space telescopes, we are going to find out, through spectroscopy of the atmospheres of planets of other stars. (Of course I'd love to have it turn out that true Earths are common.)
A good picture: of a vast galaxy AND of human 'eyes' observing it. How many more civilizations are there out there, also eyeing that galaxy? A clue is our own solar system: yes, we have an Earth with our civilization. But perhaps more important we have Venus, which has lost ALL its hydrogen and hence NO water and hence NO chance of life. The fact that a Venus appears in our solar system almost guarantees that Venuses are common throughout the galaxy. But we can NOT conclude from our own presence that Earths are similarly common. That is the remaining huge unknown: how common are Earth/Venus-size planets in the habitable zone that do NOT lose their hydrogen? We do not know. It may be that an unusual event involving the origin of our big Moon was somehow crucial to our retaining our hydrogen and therefore having lots of water, leading to life and leading to this posting. If that is so, there may only be tiny numbers of 'Earths' in our galaxy. As it stands, we just don't know! But with future space telescopes, we are going to find out, through spectroscopy of the atmospheres of planets of other stars. (Of course I'd love to have it turn out that true Earths are common.)